Insider Signal

Historical replay

DVABUY2013-01-16

Research evidence · Momentum state recorded

Real SEC and market data replayed in strict as-of order.

1. Executive summary

Insider activity activity in DVA was grouped into one BUY economic campaign (11 filing events, 1 insider, 3 source filings). Disclosed value about $33,765,446.41. Matured 30-day endpoint: +8.74% (win).

30-day outcome
+8.74% · Positive
90-day outcome
+15.49% · Positive
Evidence type
Historical replay

2. Event overview

Ticker
DVA
Side
BUY
Campaign start
2013-01-16
First filing
2013-01-15
Entry session
2013-01-16
Entry price (simulated)
$110.3800
Disclosed value
$33,765,446.41

3. Insider activity

Unique insiders
1
Unique filings
3

4. Why the system flagged it

Observed facts

  • Side: BUY
  • Filing events in campaign: 11
  • Disclosed value on record
  • Momentum state: Momentum state recorded

Research interpretation

  • Included in the strict historical replay universe after as-of reconstruction.
  • Child filings support one economic exposure — they are not separate proof rows.

5. Campaign context

Multiple related filings are grouped into one economic campaign to avoid counting the same exposure repeatedly.

Origin date
2013-01-16
Filing events
11
Unique insiders
1
Unique filings
3

6. Timing and publication proof

  1. Source accepted

    2013-01-15

  2. Replay decision / entry session

    2013-01-16

  3. Intended entry

    Simulated T+1 @ $110.3800

  4. Note

    Historical replay — not original live VIP delivery.

7. Market path and outcome

For BUY research, a favourable move means price increase (direction-aware).

30-day

+8.74% · Positive

90-day

+15.49% · Positive

Best move

+8.95%

Adverse move

-0.06%

Reached +10 / +15 / +30
N / N / N
Touched −10 / −15
N / N
Exit policy
TIME
  1. Entry

    2013-01-16

  2. Best favourable point

    MFE +8.95%

  3. Worst adverse point

    MAE -0.06%

  4. 30d endpoint

    +8.74% · Positive

8. Risk and alternative interpretation

  • This is historical replay research — not an original live VIP delivery.
  • Multiple related filings are one economic campaign — child rows are not independent proof.

9. Sources and evidence

  • SEC accession on filing lineage
  • Methodology
  • Historical Evidence V2 · Released August 2026 · Coverage-limited replay
Verify this record
Campaign reference
CX:02503
Acceptance
Not available from the source.
Origin research id

Methodology and limitations

  • Coverage-limited descriptive historical evidence.
  • Not an executable portfolio return.
  • SELL values are direction-aware price path, not short execution P&L.

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