Insider Signal

About

Insider trades, read by a system — not a pundit.

Insider Edge monitors publicly-filed insider transactions and congressional trade disclosures, scores them, publishes signals in real time to VIP subscribers, and releases the same signals to the public after a fixed 7-day delay. Every signal is then tracked at 30 and 90 days — the outcome is recorded whether it was a win or a loss, and is visible to anyone at /archive.

This page cites numbers from the public archive. 4,892 economically independent ticker campaigns, 4,892 matured 30-day, 54.97% positive completed outcomes, median +1.26%. Losses included. Not live broker trades.

Where the data comes from

Every signal starts from a public primary-source filing. We do not trade on tips, we do not run a paid network, and we do not accept placed content.

  • SEC Form 4 (insider trades)

    Officers, directors, and 10%+ shareholders of U.S. issuers file Form 4 with the SEC within two business days of a reportable transaction. We parse the full feed, link filings to the underlying ticker, and extract size, direction, and the filer role.

  • Congressional PTR disclosures

    Members of the U.S. Congress are required to file Periodic Transaction Reports for securities trades above a statutory threshold. We pull the public disclosures, join them with ticker metadata, and treat each filer as a distinct “actor” whose prior-signal performance is tracked separately.

We do not use private data rooms, unannounced filings, or any non-public information. Everything we consume is filed by law and available on sec.gov and disclosures-clerk.house.gov.

How a filing becomes a signal

  1. Step 1 · Detect

    Ingest and normalize

    Filings are pulled continuously, deduplicated, linked to the issuer’s ticker, and enriched with trade size, direction (buy / sell), and filing delay versus the trade date.

  2. Step 2 · Score

    Actor-aware ranking

    The score combines trade size, filing freshness, role of the insider, cluster behavior (multiple insiders acting in the same direction), and the actor’s own prior-signal track record. Score thresholds map to labels Strong / High / Watch.

  3. Step 3 · Publish

    VIP real-time; Public delay policy

    Qualifying signals are published to the VIP feed when produced. The current release policy is configured for Public eligibility 7×24 hours after a verified original VIP delivery timestamp. Source-verified seven-day forward examples are still collecting. Historical replay and origin-unproven rows are labelled separately and must not be read as original VIP delivery proof.

  4. Step 4 · Follow-up

    Frozen entry, recorded outcome

    At publication we snapshot the entry context. At 30 and 90 days later, a separate worker computes the return from the frozen entry to the then-current price and writes it to the archive. Outcomes are recorded whether positive or negative — nothing is removed from the archive after the fact.

For SELL signals the return is sign-inverted so that a falling price shows a positive outcome — the scoreboard above reflects that convention consistently across all horizons.

Why the numbers are trustworthy

  • Entry is frozen at publish time

    We do not retroactively pick a better entry. The entry used for every outcome is the one captured when the signal was created. When a row is a verified original VIP delivery, the public release preserves that same immutable record — not a rewritten substitute.

  • The 7-day delay is a policy gate

    Public visibility is gated by configured delay policy (currently 7×24 hours after a verified original VIP delivery timestamp). This is the release policy — not a claim that every currently published example already proves a completed seven-day forward delivery.

  • Losers are not deleted

    Once a signal has a 30-day outcome, the row is permanent in the archive — including losing outcomes. The aggregate positive completed outcomes and median on this site are computed over the same full set.

What this product does not do

  • Not financial advice

    Signals are research output, not investment recommendations. Position sizing, execution, taxes, fees, and slippage are entirely your responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • No tips, no placed content

    We never publish a signal because someone asked us to. No paid-for inclusions, no sponsored picks, no “pump” lists. The filter for every signal is the same scoring model.

  • No guaranteed returns

    Some signals print positive outcomes; some print negative. The archive shows both. Anyone promising guaranteed returns is selling a different product.

  • No private data

    We only ingest what issuers and congresspeople are legally required to disclose publicly. There is no inside track beyond reading primary sources faster than a retail reader would.

Contact & community

Questions about methodology, billing, or spotted a data issue? insider-edge@zohomail.eu.