Insider Signal

Historical replay

ACFSELL2010-02-17

Research evidence · Momentum state recorded

Real SEC and market data replayed in strict as-of order.

1. Executive summary

Insider activity activity in ACF was grouped into one SELL economic campaign (2 filing events, 1 insider, 1 source filing). Disclosed value about $253,005. Matured 30-day endpoint: -41.82% (loss).

30-day outcome
-41.82% · Negative
90-day outcome
-9.09% · Negative
Evidence type
Historical replay

2. Event overview

Ticker
ACF
Side
SELL
Campaign start
2010-02-17
First filing
2010-02-16
Entry session
2010-02-17
Entry price (simulated)
$13.7500
Disclosed value
$253,005

3. Insider activity

Unique insiders
1
Unique filings
1

4. Why the system flagged it

Observed facts

  • Side: SELL
  • Filing events in campaign: 2
  • Disclosed value on record
  • Momentum state: Momentum state recorded

Research interpretation

  • Included in the strict historical replay universe after as-of reconstruction.
  • Child filings support one economic exposure — they are not separate proof rows.

5. Campaign context

Multiple related filings are grouped into one economic campaign to avoid counting the same exposure repeatedly.

Origin date
2010-02-17
Filing events
2
Unique insiders
1
Unique filings
1

6. Timing and publication proof

  1. Source accepted

    2010-02-16

  2. Replay decision / entry session

    2010-02-17

  3. Intended entry

    Simulated T+1 @ $13.7500

  4. Note

    Historical replay — not original live VIP delivery.

7. Market path and outcome

For SELL research, a favourable move means price decline (direction-aware price path; not an executable short return).

30-day

-41.82% · Negative

90-day

-9.09% · Negative

Best move

+16.36%

Adverse move

-56.36%

Reached +10 / +15 / +30
N / N / N
Touched −10 / −15
N / N
Exit policy
SL
  1. Entry

    2010-02-17

  2. Best favourable point

    MFE +16.36%

  3. Worst adverse point

    MAE -56.36%

  4. 30d endpoint

    -41.82% · Negative

8. Risk and alternative interpretation

  • This is historical replay research — not an original live VIP delivery.
  • An insider sale may reflect diversification, tax, or portfolio management rather than a directional view.
  • Multiple related filings are one economic campaign — child rows are not independent proof.

9. Sources and evidence

  • SEC accession on filing lineage
  • Methodology
  • Historical Evidence V2 · Released August 2026 · Coverage-limited replay
Verify this record
Campaign reference
CX:00155
Acceptance
Not available from the source.
Origin research id

Methodology and limitations

  • Coverage-limited descriptive historical evidence.
  • Not an executable portfolio return.
  • SELL values are direction-aware price path, not short execution P&L.

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